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Iran

一月 12, 2026

Tehran 2:00 下午

13°C

A pump jack stands near an oil spill at a facility in Venezuela.

Analysis

特朗普攫取委内瑞拉石油将如何考验欧佩克的实力？中东能源模型

从长远来看，华盛顿试图将全球最大的已探明原油储量牢牢纳入其掌控，这给欧佩克的战略以及斥巨资的海湾产油国的未来前景带来了疑问。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

An Iranian woman walks past a mural depicting a scene from the Iranian national epic "Shahnameh" in the capital Tehran on January 6, 2026. Iran's economy has been hit hard by tough international sanctions, with the national currency, the rial, losing more than a third of its value against the US dollar over the past year and inflation in double digits. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images)

伊朗：是什么引发了这波抗议浪潮？接下来会发生什么？

最初因经济状况而引发的抗议活动，越来越具有政治色彩，让人想起伊朗早期的全国性运动。

US President Donald Trump addresses a House Republican retreat at The John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on Jan. 6, 2026 in Washington, DC.

随着伊朗抗议活动愈演愈烈，特朗普对美国干预伊朗问题的表态前后矛盾。

特朗普总统将数十名抗议者的死亡归咎于踩踏事件，但视频显示伊朗安全部队正在向抗议者开火。

Iranians gather while blocking a street during a protest in Kermanshah, Iran on January 8, 2026. The nationwide protests started in Tehran's Grand Bazaar against the failing economic policies in late December, which spread to universities and other cities, and included economic slogans, to political and anti-government ones. (Photo by Kamran / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

以色列对伊朗局势动荡保持警惕，认为“未来几天”对伊朗政权至关重要。

以色列方面的评估表明，虽然伊朗领导层尚未表现出完全失去控制的迹象，但随着抗议活动的持续，局势可能会发生变化。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Latest News

随着抗议活动加剧，阿联酋、卡塔尔和土耳其飞往伊朗的航班被取消。

Kamran / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images

伊朗爆发最大规模抗议活动，当局切断网络：你需要了解哪些信息

A protester flashes victory signs as traffic slows during demonstrations in Hamedan, Iran, on Jan. 1, 2026.

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队警告以色列，伊朗已“扣动扳机”，伊朗抗议活动进入第11天

Mobina / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images

医院遭袭，死亡人数不断攀升：伊朗动荡局势进入危险阶段

Rocks, tree branches, and a toppled charity box remain on a street during unrest amid demonstrations in Hamedan, Iran, on Jan. 1, 2026

TEHRAN, IRAN - JUNE 24: A Police officer stands guard as demonstrators wave flags and cheer during a gathering to honor Iran’s military forces, following the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, on June 24, 2025 in Tehran, Iran. Iranian authorities announced this morning they would agree to a ceasefire with Israel, whose attacks on Iran's military and nuclear sites on June 13 sparked a daily exchange of missiles between the countries. (Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队称逮捕了一名与以色列摩萨德有关联的黑客：我们目前掌握的信息

在伊朗和以色列之间网络战愈演愈烈之际，伊朗加大了对涉嫌与以色列合作的个人的打击力度。

A picture taken in Damascus on Dec. 9, 2024, shows the building of the Iranian Embassy, which was ransacked after anti-government fighters took the Syrian capital the previous day, with a portrait of Iran's slain Revolutionary Guards commander, Qasem Soleimani, still hanging on its fence.

Analysis

沙拉前往华盛顿之际，伊朗寻求与俄罗斯重建与叙利亚的关系。

艾哈迈德·沙拉对美国的历史性访问凸显了巴沙尔·阿萨德政权垮台后叙利亚的战略转向，这留下了一个权力真空，尽管德黑兰多年来一直拥有深远的影响力，但填补这个真空将是一项艰巨的任务。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A woman waves an Iranian flag during a rally against Israel's attacks on Iran, in solidarity with the Palestinian people and to call for world peace in Caracas, on June 19, 2025.

伊朗加倍支持委内瑞拉，特朗普加大威胁力度：你需要了解什么

伊朗正寻求加强与委内瑞拉的关系，并在美国对委内瑞拉沿海毒品走私者发动空袭后表示声援，尽管近年来两国在能源领域的联系有所减弱。

Soldiers from Iran's land, navy, air force and special forces parade on the occasion of National Army Day in Tehran on April 18, 2025, in Tehran, Iran.

伊朗否认从中国和俄罗斯获得武器，此前有采购报告显示伊朗曾向俄罗斯提供武器。

伊朗最高军事官员否认与中国和俄罗斯进行武器交易，这表明在战后重建时期，伊朗对其国防伙伴关系的报道方式持谨慎态度。

ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊排除了在美国政策发生重大转变之前进行合作的可能性。

伊朗最高领袖表示，伊朗只有在华盛顿切断与以色列的关系、从该地区撤出军事基地并停止干涉中东事务的情况下，才会考虑未来与美国合作。

A view of the Bushehr nuclear power plant.

Analysis

伊朗竭力重启外交，将其视为抵御新战争的最后一道防线。

经过数月的地区紧张局势、军事打击和外交瘫痪之后，伊朗似乎正在寻求重启核谈判，这表明即使在深重的不信任中，伊朗也认为外交是避免再次发生战争的唯一途径。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A train moves during the inauguration of a 140-kilometres line running from eastern Iran into western Afghanistan, at a railroad station in Khaf, on Dec. 10, 2020.

Analysis

伊朗重启跨境铁路项目，力图巩固欧亚贸易路线

尽管面临制裁和地区不稳定的风险，伊朗仍计划将其铁路网络打造成为横跨欧亚大陆的战略杠杆。

Sabena Siddiqui

由 Sabena Siddiqui

In Karachi, reporting on South Asia, Middle East, Iran

MEDITERRANIAN SEA - OCTOBER 2: In this handout provided by the U.S. Navy, The USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN 78), and Italian Navy Offshore Patrol Vessel ITS Paolo Thaon di Revel (P430), flagship of Standing NATO Mine Countermeasures Group 2, operate in the Mediterranean Sea, Oct. 2, 2025. Gerald R. Ford, a first-in-class aircraft carrier and deployed flagship of Carrier Strike Group 12, is on a scheduled deployment in the U.S. 6th Fleet area of operations to support the warfighting effectiveness, lethality and re

特朗普在委内瑞拉的僵局将使美国航母无法在中东作战。

随着特朗普政府将施压行动转向拉丁美洲，福特号驱逐舰的离开将使华盛顿失去海军在中东的随叫随到机动打击能力。

Iranian women without wearing hijab shout slogans while gathering around a burning dumpster during a protest near Punak square, on Oct. 1, 2022

Culture

伊朗影星佩吉曼·贾姆希迪强奸案震惊伊朗：你需要了解什么

针对伊朗最著名的名人之一贾姆希迪的指控，正值该国持续讨论女性权利缺失问题之际。

Members of the Iranian Basij paramilitary force march during the force parade on Jan. 10, 2025, in Tehran, Iran.

伊朗革命卫队悄然改组引发战后动荡猜测

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队悄悄解除了资深指挥官穆罕默德·礼萨·纳克迪的职务，在该国安全层级发生更广泛变化的背景下，此举引发了有关战后重组、内部重新调整和挥之不去的间谍指控的争论。

AAMIR QURESHI/AFP via Getty Images

伊朗将接待巴基斯坦内政部长，推动边境安全与贸易谈判

伊朗正在巧妙处理与巴基斯坦的关系，寻求加强边境安全并增加贸易以应对制裁。

Head of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Quds force, Esmail Qaani, attends the funeral ceremony for slain Guards commander Abbas Nilforoushan in Tehran on Oct. 15, 2024.

Analysis

圣城军首领低调访问巴格达，凸显伊朗战略重心转移

伊朗圣城军指挥官埃斯梅尔·卡阿尼在对巴格达的短暂访问中，寻求修复伊拉克分裂的什叶派集团，恢复德黑兰地区摇摇欲坠的影响力，这表明伊朗在黎巴嫩、加沙和叙利亚遭受重大挫折后需要紧急重新调整。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics