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New Mideast threats mean uncertainty for oil, trade, stability in August

August 2024 Al-Monitor Trend Report 

After July’s headlines buzzed about a reshaped US presidential race, August’s news cycle struggled to escape the long shadow of conflict in the Middle East as Israel-Iran tensions boiled following the July 31 assassination of Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.

A picture taken on October 13, 2021 shows Kuwait's largest oil refinery at the Al-Ahmadi complex, about 40 kilometres (25 miles) south of the capital Kuwait City. - A fire broke out on October 18, 2021 in Al-Ahmadi refinery, with no interruptions to site operations or petrol exports.

Leadership turnover fuels new uncertainty as Mideast economies navigate Gaza fallout

May 2024 Al-Monitor Trend Report 

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A region beset by unending upheaval faced more in May 2024, with top Mideast powers bracing for major leadership changes after the sudden death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi. That came as Saudi Arabia’s 88-year-old King Salman simultaneously fell ill, underlining potential for an imminent royal succession.

CORRECTION / An Iranian man reads a prayer over the coffins of late president Ebrahim Raisi (portrait top L) and late governor of Iran's East Azerbaijan Province Malik Rahmati (portrait top R) during a funeral ceremony at the Imam Reza shrine, in the city of Mashhad, on May 23, 2024. Raisi and seven members of his entourage, including foreign minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, were killed in a helicopter crash on a fog-shrouded mountainside in Iran on May 19. (Photo by Sadegh NIKGOSTAR / FARS NEWS AGENCY /

Mideast passes stress test as Iran-Israel trade blows, but economic challenges remain

April 2024 Al-Monitor Trend Report 

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Months of scorching hot Mideast tensions sparked by the Gaza war finally boiled over into open attacks between Israel and Iran in April, giving shape to a long-feared eruption of a regional war that — alongside adding to the human toll — could deliver another jolt of economic pain locally and globally.

This picture taken December 12, 2019 shows a man monitoring the board at the Stock Exchange Market (Tadawul) bourse in Riyadh. - Energy giant Saudi Aramco's market value soared above $2 trillion as its share price surged again on its second day of trading. The valuation milestone was sought by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman when he first floated the idea of selling up to five percent of Aramco, the world's largest oil firm, about four years ago. Aramco shares jumped another 9.7 percent to 38.60 riya

Middle East economic outlook dims amid turbulent start to 2024

January 2024 Al-Monitor Trend Report 

2,572 words

Heading into 2023, Middle East economies were riding high after the region posted a 5.6% growth rate over the prior year, making it a global bright spot in a generally gloomy environment clouded by recession fears. A year later, the Middle East again stands out as an outlier but for the opposite reason, as the escalating Israel-Hamas war teeters on the brink of producing widespread economic pain.

A man watches stock movements on a display at the Dubai Financial Market stock exchange in the Gulf emirate on April 12, 2022. Shares in the Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (DEWA) rose 16 percent on April 12 in the Gulf region's biggest initial public offering since Saudi oil giant Aramco in 2019. (Photo by Giuseppe CACACE / AFP) (Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images)

How 2023 shaped the Middle East’s post-oil future amid Gulf energy transitions laden with controversy 

December 2023 Al-Monitor Trend Report 

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The curtain has closed at COP28 in Dubai after delivering a historic global agreement to “transition away” from fossil fuels, but the UAE continues pumping out dealmaking shaping the path to a post-oil future. On Dec. 18, Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio announced a $2.2 billion investment from Abu Dhabi-backed fund CYVN, the same day that Dubai-based decarbonization company Positive Zero revealed it could receive up to $400 million from BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager. 

DUBAI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - DECEMBER 13: Activists stage a protest on day thirteen of the UNFCCC COP28 Climate Conference on December 13, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. The conference has gone into an extra day as delegations continue to negotiate over the wording of the final agreement. The COP28, which was originally scheduled to run from November 30 through December 12, has brought together stakeholders, including international heads of state and other leaders, scientists, environmentalists, indi