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Why Brexit makes life harder for Turkey

By voting to leave the European Union, Britons not only deepened Europe’s crisis, but dealt a blow to Turkey as well.

ISTANBUL, Turkey:  Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan delivers a speech in Istanbul on 12 October 2005 during the visit of German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder. Their talks were expected to focus on bilateral issues but also on the start of Turkey's membership negotiations with the European Union.    AFP PHOTO    DDP/MARCUS BRANDT  (Photo credit should read MARCUS BRANDT/AFP/Getty Images)
Then-Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan delivers a speech in Istanbul on Oct. 12, 2005, during the visit of German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder. Their talks were expected to focus on bilateral issues but also on the start of Turkey's membership negotiations with the European Union. — MARCUS BRANDT/AFP/Getty Images

The winners of Britain’s June 23 referendum used Turkey as a bogeyman to boost their case to leave the European Union. To what extent the “Turkey fear” swayed their victory remains unclear, but one thing is for sure: The outcome has pushed Turkey farther away from the European Union.

A month ahead of the vote, the “leave” block made Turkey a central topic in its campaign, linking it deliberately to the refugee crisis that threatens European institutions and democracy. Stoking popular fears, the Brexiteers claimed, “Since the birthrate in Turkey is so high, we can expect to see an additional million people added to the UK population from Turkey alone within eight years.” They went as far as to suggest that “because of the EU’s free movement laws, the government will not be able to exclude Turkish criminals from entering the UK.” To soothe his compatriots, Prime Minister David Cameron felt compelled to declare that “at the current rate of progress [Turkey] will probably get round to joining in about the year 3000.”

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