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The Fight for the Fertile Crescent

The struggle for Syria today is a struggle, in reality, that extends over a chessboard running from Baghdad to Beirut, says Ambassador Nassif Hitti, Head of the Arab League Mission. And the repercussions, no matter what the outcome, will definitely reach Beirut, Baghdad and beyond, into the entire Middle East.

Feb 8, 2013
United Nations observers travelling in U.N. vehicles leave a hotel in Damascus May 1, 2012, as they head to areas where protests against the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad have been taking place. REUTERS/Khaled al- Hariri (SYRIA - Tags: CIVIL UNREST MILITARY POLITICS CONFLICT)
United Nations observers travelling in U.N. vehicles leave a hotel in Damascus May 1, 2012. — REUTERS/Khaled Al Hariri

In his book The Struggle for Syria: A Study in Post-War Arab Politics, 1945-1958, Patrick Seale reminds us of the pivotal importance and attractiveness of Syria’s geostrategic location in the competition for power expansion and influence-building in the Middle East. Today, the situation is much more complex. Civil war is looming in the absence of the possibility of peaceful, smooth, orderly change. The Annan mission is supposed to help the Arab League and the United Nations contain and settle the conflict. But the latter is pitting an Arab-Turkish-Western axis against an Iranian-Russian-Chinese one, with different degrees of involvement, commitment and agendas for members of each axis.

Many factors tend to enlarge the crisis area, making the conduct of crisis diplomacy more difficult.

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