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In Divided Libya, Elections Are Only Part of the Answer

Libya’s first election in 40 years has been postponed from the long-promised date of June 19 to July 7. Mustafa Fetouri doubts that the election will be held on the new date or at all in the near future, and argues that it could actually lead to more bloodshed and greater social tension in a tribal society where revenge is the order of life. 

Men set fire to sponge dolls, representing the demonstrators' rejection of the current allocation of seats in the elections for Libya's National Congress, during a protest in Benghazi June 9, 2012. The words on the doll on the right read: "For justice will be burned".   REUTERS/Esam Al-Fetori    (LIBYA - Tags: POLITICS CIVIL UNREST TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY ELECTIONS)
Men set fire to sponge dolls representing the demonstrators' rejection of the current allocation of seats in the elections for Libya's National Congress during a protest in Benghazi June 9, 2012. — REUTERS/Esam Al-Fetori

Libya’s first election in 40 years has been postponed from the long-promised date of June 19 to July 7, with serious doubt that the election will be held on the new date. I, among many commentators, predicted the delay and I now doubt credible elections could be held in the near future. The National Election Commission (NEC) cited logistical and procedural obstacles in announcing the delay. However, what the NEC failed to mention was that the real obstacles are deeper and more serious, the kind of obstacles that make elections far from conclusive, let alone democratically representative.

Libya as a country remains as divided as it was the day after the former regime was toppled with NATO's help in a bloody war that lasted almost a year. The national reconciliation process never got anywhere, leaving the Libyan people further divided than they were during the war. The interim government remains weak and unable to assert its authority over large parts of the country, particularly in Kufra and Sebha in the south and other smaller regions in the north and northwest.

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